Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F / Pustá Polom vs Cesky Tesin

Pustá Polom vs Cesky Tesin Statistics & Analysis

Pustá Polom Pustá Polom
Jun 07, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.66
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 57%
Cesky Tesin Cesky Tesin
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Pustá Polom Pustá Polom ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 18:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3201163

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pustá Polom win · Pustá Polom 3–2 Cesky Tesin
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F
  • Fixture: Pustá Polom vs Cesky Tesin
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-07 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 44.6% · Draw 27.0% · Away 28.3%
  • xG (showing): Pustá Polom 1.66 — Cesky Tesin 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.95)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.5% · Over 2.5 56.5%); BTTS Yes (Yes 60.2% · No 39.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 60.2% · No 39.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie F 4. liga - Divizie F — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Havířov 29 19 2 8 59
2 Vratimov 29 17 3 9 54
3 Bospor Bohumín 29 15 8 6 53
4 Bílovec 29 15 8 6 53
5 Stonava 29 14 6 9 48
6 Valašské Meziříčí 29 11 8 10 41
7 Zabreh 30 9 12 9 39
8 Šumperk 29 9 12 8 39
9 Opava II 30 11 5 14 38
10 Frýdlant 30 9 11 10 38
11 Jiskra Rýmařov 30 11 4 15 37
12 Petřvald na Moravě 29 9 9 11 36
13 Nový Jičín 29 8 12 9 36
14 Břidličná 30 7 10 13 31
15 Pustá Polom 29 5 9 15 24
16 Cesky Tesin 29 2 7 20 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 29 76 48 +28 53
2 Havířov 29 74 36 +38 59
3 Bílovec 29 62 48 +14 53
4 Valašské Meziříčí 29 59 63 -4 41
5 Vratimov 29 54 39 +15 54
6 Stonava 29 54 44 +10 48
7 Opava II 30 52 55 -3 38
8 Petřvald na Moravě 29 49 46 +3 36
9 Zabreh 30 45 42 +3 39
10 Frýdlant 30 45 54 -9 38
11 Jiskra Rýmařov 30 45 58 -13 37
12 Šumperk 29 36 38 -2 39
13 Pustá Polom 29 36 59 -23 24
14 Nový Jičín 29 35 40 -5 36
15 Břidličná 30 34 46 -12 31
16 Cesky Tesin 29 23 64 -41 13
4. liga - Divizie F Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions