Uherský Brod vs Nové Sady Statistics & Analysis

Uherský Brod

Jun 05, 2026 - 16:00

4 1.66

4 0.98

xG Accuracy: 23%

Nové Sady

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Uherský Brod Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 4-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 05:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3027266

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Uherský Brod 4–4 Nové Sady

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 4. liga - Divizie E
Fixture: Uherský Brod vs Nové Sady
Kickoff: 2026-06-07 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 51.8% · Draw 27.4% · Away 20.8%
xG (showing): Uherský Brod 1.66 — Nové Sady 0.98 (total xG ≈ 2.64)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 50.8% · Over 2.5 49.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.1% · No 47.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.1% · No 47.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (11.8%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie E — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Uherský Brod	27	21	6	0	69
2	Kozlovice	28	16	8	4	56
3	Tatran Všechovice	28	17	5	7	53
4	Strání	27	16	3	8	51
5	Sokol Lanžhot	26	13	6	7	45
6	Slavičín	27	13	6	9	45
7	Brumov	27	13	4	10	43
8	Bzenec	27	13	2	12	41
9	Baťov	27	9	7	11	34
10	Břeclav	28	10	3	15	33
11	Kroměříž II	28	8	3	17	27
12	Holešov	27	6	6	15	24
13	Šternberk	28	5	7	16	22
14	Nové Sady	26	3	8	15	17
15	Skaštice	27	3	4	20	13

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	28	67	38	+29	53
2	Kozlovice	28	59	30	+29	56
3	Bzenec	27	59	52	+7	41
4	Uherský Brod	27	55	14	+41	69
5	Strání	27	54	32	+22	51
6	Sokol Lanžhot	26	45	25	+20	45
7	Brumov	27	42	34	+8	43
8	Slavičín	27	40	38	+2	45
9	Holešov	27	39	53	-14	24
10	Břeclav	28	36	50	-14	33
11	Šternberk	28	35	54	-19	22
12	Baťov	27	31	41	-10	34
13	Kroměříž II	28	30	55	-25	27
14	Nové Sady	26	27	53	-26	17
15	Skaštice	27	24	78	-54	13