Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D / Velká Bíteš vs Ždírec nad Doubravou

Velká Bíteš vs Ždírec nad Doubravou Statistics & Analysis

Velká Bíteš Velká Bíteš
Jun 07, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.42
0 1.16
xG Accuracy: 62%
Ždírec nad Doubravou Ždírec nad Doubravou
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Velká Bíteš Velká Bíteš ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 15:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3184235

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Velká Bíteš win · Velká Bíteš 2–0 Ždírec nad Doubravou
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D
  • Fixture: Velká Bíteš vs Ždírec nad Doubravou
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-07 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.3% · Draw 29.5% · Away 29.2%
  • xG (showing): Velká Bíteš 1.42 — Ždírec nad Doubravou 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.58)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 52.3% · Over 2.5 47.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie D 4. liga - Divizie D — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Líšeň II 29 22 4 3 70
2 Tatran Bohunice 30 18 6 6 60
3 Kuřim 29 16 7 6 55
4 Velká Bíteš 29 15 6 8 51
5 Znojmo 30 14 6 10 48
6 Velké Meziříčí 29 12 7 10 43
7 Pelhřimov 29 11 7 11 40
8 Ždírec nad Doubravou 29 11 6 12 39
9 Sokol Tasovice 29 10 7 12 37
10 Žďár nad Sázavou 29 10 6 13 36
11 Chotebor 29 10 4 15 34
12 Sparta Brno 29 9 4 16 31
13 Havlíčkův Brod 29 7 7 15 28
14 Humpolec 29 8 4 17 28
15 FS Třebíč 29 5 12 12 27
16 Dálnice Speřice 29 7 3 19 24
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Líšeň II 29 91 26 +65 70
2 Znojmo 30 62 37 +25 48
3 Kuřim 29 58 28 +30 55
4 Velká Bíteš 29 58 38 +20 51
5 Velké Meziříčí 29 52 48 +4 43
6 Sparta Brno 29 52 55 -3 31
7 Pelhřimov 29 47 59 -12 40
8 Sokol Tasovice 29 44 59 -15 37
9 Humpolec 29 43 55 -12 28
10 Tatran Bohunice 30 41 24 +17 60
11 Havlíčkův Brod 29 39 48 -9 28
12 FS Třebíč 29 33 58 -25 27
13 Žďár nad Sázavou 29 32 52 -20 36
14 Chotebor 29 32 54 -22 34
15 Ždírec nad Doubravou 29 30 41 -11 39
16 Dálnice Speřice 29 24 56 -32 24
4. liga - Divizie D Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D Predictions