Zavrč vs Rače Statistics & Analysis

Zavrč

May 09, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 82%

Rače

Premium betting site 1xbet: New users can use the promo code 1x_3342271 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Zavrč Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. SNL - East
Fixture: Zavrč vs Rače
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Zavrč 1.45 — Rače 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 56.6% · Implied: 42.5% · Probability edge: +14.1 pts · Est. EV: +26.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 43.4% · No 56.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.7%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS No.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

When several markets sit near +EV, keep stakes small — correlation means edges do not add cleanly.

FAQ

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Zavrč & Rače!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

3. SNL - East — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Videm	16	11	4	1	37
2	Brežice	16	8	4	4	28
3	Korotan Prevalje	16	7	5	4	26
4	Zavrč	17	8	2	7	26
5	Podvinci	15	6	5	4	23
6	Hajdina	16	6	5	5	23
7	Fužinar	16	5	6	5	21
8	Rogaška	15	5	6	4	21
9	Čarda Martjanci	15	6	3	6	21
10	Šmartno	16	4	6	6	18
11	Rače	15	3	7	5	16
12	Ljutomer	16	1	7	8	10
13	NŠ Drava	4	1	2	1	5
14	Dobrovce	15	1	2	12	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Videm	16	39	16	+23	37
2	Čarda Martjanci	15	27	23	+4	21
3	Fužinar	16	26	18	+8	21
4	Rogaška	15	24	16	+8	21
5	Brežice	16	23	19	+4	28
6	Šmartno	16	22	27	-5	18
7	Korotan Prevalje	16	21	16	+5	26
8	Zavrč	17	21	20	+1	26
9	Hajdina	16	20	21	-1	23
10	Podvinci	15	17	13	+4	23
11	Rače	15	16	18	-2	16
12	Ljutomer	16	14	31	-17	10
13	Dobrovce	15	11	43	-32	5
14	NŠ Drava	4	4	4	0	5