Hajdina vs Dobrovce Statistics & Analysis

Hajdina

May 09, 2026 - 15:00

3 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 46%

Dobrovce

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
1X2 Hajdina Hajdina ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 03:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3156308

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hajdina win · Hajdina 3–0 Dobrovce

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - East
Fixture: Hajdina vs Dobrovce
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Hajdina 1.45 — Dobrovce 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 42.3% · Over 2.5 57.7%); BTTS No (Yes 44.2% · No 55.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 44.2% · No 55.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. SNL - East — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Videm	16	11	4	1	37
2	Brežice	16	8	4	4	28
3	Korotan Prevalje	16	7	5	4	26
4	Zavrč	17	8	2	7	26
5	Podvinci	15	6	5	4	23
6	Hajdina	16	6	5	5	23
7	Fužinar	16	5	6	5	21
8	Rogaška	15	5	6	4	21
9	Čarda Martjanci	15	6	3	6	21
10	Šmartno	16	4	6	6	18
11	Rače	15	3	7	5	16
12	Ljutomer	16	1	7	8	10
13	NŠ Drava	4	1	2	1	5
14	Dobrovce	15	1	2	12	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Videm	16	39	16	+23	37
2	Čarda Martjanci	15	27	23	+4	21
3	Fužinar	16	26	18	+8	21
4	Rogaška	15	24	16	+8	21
5	Brežice	16	23	19	+4	28
6	Šmartno	16	22	27	-5	18
7	Korotan Prevalje	16	21	16	+5	26
8	Zavrč	17	21	20	+1	26
9	Hajdina	16	20	21	-1	23
10	Podvinci	15	17	13	+4	23
11	Rače	15	16	18	-2	16
12	Ljutomer	16	14	31	-17	10
13	Dobrovce	15	11	43	-32	5
14	NŠ Drava	4	4	4	0	5