Statistics / Football / United-Arab-Emirates. Division 1 / Al Dahra vs Hatta SC

Al Dahra vs Hatta SC Statistics & Analysis

Al Dahra Al Dahra
May 29, 2026 - 14:15
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Hatta SC Hatta SC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Al Dahra Hatta SC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 0-2, 1-1, 1-2, 0-3 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 06:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3244036

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 2.39
CLV Pending
Final Result Hatta SC win · Al Dahra 1–3 Hatta SC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 41.8%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 1
  • Fixture: Al Dahra vs Hatta SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-29 14:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Al Dahra 1.45 — Hatta SC 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 49.4% · Implied: 34.0% · Probability edge: +15.4 pts · Est. EV: +42.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (10.0%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Division 1 Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hatta SC 28 18 5 5 59
2 Dubai United 28 17 7 4 58
3 Al Urooba 28 17 6 5 57
4 Dibba Al Hisn 28 17 5 6 56
5 Al Arabi 28 15 5 8 50
6 Al Thaid 28 13 9 6 48
7 Emirates Club 28 12 6 10 42
8 Al Fujairah SC 28 10 9 9 39
9 Al Hamriyah 28 10 8 10 38
10 Gulf United 28 7 4 17 25
11 Al Jazira Al Hamra 28 6 6 16 24
12 Ittifaq 28 7 3 18 24
13 City 28 6 5 17 23
14 Al Dahra 28 5 6 17 21
15 Masfut 28 5 6 17 21
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dibba Al Hisn 28 58 25 +33 56
2 Hatta SC 28 57 25 +32 59
3 Al Fujairah SC 28 46 47 -1 39
4 Dubai United 28 45 28 +17 58
5 Al Hamriyah 28 45 34 +11 38
6 Al Arabi 28 44 34 +10 50
7 Gulf United 28 39 52 -13 25
8 Al Urooba 28 38 17 +21 57
9 Emirates Club 28 38 39 -1 42
10 Al Thaid 28 37 30 +7 48
11 Ittifaq 28 37 57 -20 24
12 Al Jazira Al Hamra 28 35 51 -16 24
13 Al Dahra 28 30 56 -26 21
14 Masfut 28 30 58 -28 21
15 City 28 29 55 -26 23