Statistics / Football / United-Arab-Emirates. Division 1 / Ittifaq vs Hatta SC

Ittifaq vs Hatta SC Statistics & Analysis

Ittifaq Ittifaq
May 03, 2026 - 14:05
1 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Hatta SC Hatta SC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ittifaq Hatta SC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1660753

Closing Odds 1.54
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Hatta SC win · Ittifaq 1–4 Hatta SC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE10 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Ittifaq (1X2), Draw (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Ittifaq (1X2) by about 23.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Ittifaq (1X2) 41.8 18.7 +23.1
Draw (1X2) 25.7 22.7 +3.0
Hatta SC (1X2) 32.6 58.6 -26.1
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 41.8% on Ittifaq (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 18.7%. The difference — about 23.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE10 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE10) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Ittifaq (1X2) 4.83 4.83 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.98 3.98 0.0
Hatta SC (1X2) 1.54 1.54 0.0

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Back to Statistics
Division 1 Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hatta SC 28 18 5 5 59
2 Dubai United 28 17 7 4 58
3 Al Urooba 28 17 6 5 57
4 Dibba Al Hisn 28 17 5 6 56
5 Al Arabi 28 15 5 8 50
6 Al Thaid 28 13 9 6 48
7 Emirates Club 28 12 6 10 42
8 Al Fujairah SC 28 10 9 9 39
9 Al Hamriyah 28 10 8 10 38
10 Gulf United 28 7 4 17 25
11 Al Jazira Al Hamra 28 6 6 16 24
12 Ittifaq 28 7 3 18 24
13 City 28 6 5 17 23
14 Al Dahra 28 5 6 17 21
15 Masfut 28 5 6 17 21
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dibba Al Hisn 28 58 25 +33 56
2 Hatta SC 28 57 25 +32 59
3 Al Fujairah SC 28 46 47 -1 39
4 Dubai United 28 45 28 +17 58
5 Al Hamriyah 28 45 34 +11 38
6 Al Arabi 28 44 34 +10 50
7 Gulf United 28 39 52 -13 25
8 Al Urooba 28 38 17 +21 57
9 Emirates Club 28 38 39 -1 42
10 Al Thaid 28 37 30 +7 48
11 Ittifaq 28 37 57 -20 24
12 Al Jazira Al Hamra 28 35 51 -16 24
13 Al Dahra 28 30 56 -26 21
14 Masfut 28 30 58 -28 21
15 City 28 29 55 -26 23