Statistics / Football / Azerbaijan. Birinci Dasta / Baku Sportinq vs Zaqatala

Baku Sportinq vs Zaqatala Statistics & Analysis

Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq
May 15, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Zaqatala Zaqatala
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1790103

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Baku Sportinq win · Baku Sportinq 3–0 Zaqatala
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Birinci Dasta
  • Fixture: Baku Sportinq vs Zaqatala
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-14 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Baku Sportinq 1.45 — Zaqatala 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 57.0% · Over 2.5 43.0%); BTTS No (Yes 45.3% · No 54.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 45.3% · No 54.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (13.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Baku Sportinq & Zaqatala!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Birinci Dasta Birinci Dasta — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Safa Baku 26 16 9 1 57
2 Səbail 26 14 8 4 50
3 Energetik 26 14 6 6 48
4 Baku Sportinq 26 13 9 4 48
5 Şahdağ 26 12 6 8 42
6 MOIK 27 9 6 12 33
7 Zaqatala 26 7 4 15 25
8 Cəbrayıl 27 7 3 17 24
9 Şimal 27 5 5 17 20
10 Difai Ağsu 27 4 6 17 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Safa Baku 26 51 19 +32 57
2 Energetik 26 51 26 +25 48
3 Səbail 26 45 17 +28 50
4 Cəbrayıl 27 40 56 -16 24
5 Baku Sportinq 26 39 22 +17 48
6 Şahdağ 26 35 26 +9 42
7 MOIK 27 33 40 -7 33
8 Difai Ağsu 27 28 60 -32 18
9 Zaqatala 26 25 43 -18 25
10 Şimal 27 23 61 -38 20