Statistics / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Tirol / St. Johann in Tirol vs Völs

St. Johann in Tirol vs Völs Statistics & Analysis

St. Johann in Tirol St. Johann in Tirol
Jun 13, 2026 - 15:00
2 2.12
2 1.61
xG Accuracy: 87%
Völs Völs
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 St. Johann in Tirol Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 1-2, 3-1 2-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 20:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3210581

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · St. Johann in Tirol 2–2 Völs
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Landesliga - Tirol
  • Fixture: St. Johann in Tirol vs Völs
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.6% · Draw 23.0% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): St. Johann in Tirol 2.12 — Völs 1.61 (total xG ≈ 3.73)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 28.0% · Over 2.5 72.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 71.5% · No 28.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 71.5% · No 28.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Tirol Landesliga - Tirol — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 St. Johann in Tirol 24 17 3 4 54
2 Swarovski Tirol II 23 16 5 2 53
3 Fügen 25 17 2 6 53
4 Innsbrucker AC 24 11 4 9 37
5 Kundl 23 11 2 10 35
6 Ebbs 25 10 5 10 35
7 Völs 23 8 9 6 33
8 Telfs 24 9 2 13 29
9 Oberperfuss 25 9 2 14 29
10 Silz / Mötz 25 9 1 15 28
11 Kematen 25 6 7 12 25
12 Wörgl 23 8 1 14 25
13 Mils 23 5 6 12 21
14 Volders 24 5 5 14 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Fügen 25 66 35 +31 53
2 St. Johann in Tirol 24 56 24 +32 54
3 Swarovski Tirol II 23 54 21 +33 53
4 Silz / Mötz 25 50 58 -8 28
5 Kundl 23 49 37 +12 35
6 Ebbs 25 49 40 +9 35
7 Oberperfuss 25 47 59 -12 29
8 Telfs 24 45 49 -4 29
9 Innsbrucker AC 24 43 34 +9 37
10 Kematen 25 41 59 -18 25
11 Völs 23 34 34 0 33
12 Mils 23 30 55 -25 21
13 Wörgl 23 28 56 -28 25
14 Volders 24 28 59 -31 20