Statistics / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Tirol / Swarovski Tirol II vs Wörgl

Swarovski Tirol II vs Wörgl Statistics & Analysis

Swarovski Tirol II Swarovski Tirol II
Jun 04, 2026 - 15:00
3 2.28
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 69%
Wörgl Wörgl
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Swarovski Tirol II Swarovski Tirol II ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 3-1, 2-0, 2-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3410610

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Swarovski Tirol II win · Swarovski Tirol II 3–2 Wörgl
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Landesliga - Tirol
  • Fixture: Swarovski Tirol II vs Wörgl
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 56.5% · Draw 21.9% · Away 21.7%
  • xG (showing): Swarovski Tirol II 2.28 — Wörgl 1.39 (total xG ≈ 3.67)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 29.0% · Over 2.5 71.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 68.5% · No 31.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 68.5% · No 31.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Tirol Landesliga - Tirol — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 St. Johann in Tirol 24 17 3 4 54
2 Swarovski Tirol II 23 16 5 2 53
3 Fügen 25 17 2 6 53
4 Innsbrucker AC 24 11 4 9 37
5 Kundl 23 11 2 10 35
6 Ebbs 25 10 5 10 35
7 Völs 23 8 9 6 33
8 Telfs 24 9 2 13 29
9 Oberperfuss 25 9 2 14 29
10 Silz / Mötz 25 9 1 15 28
11 Kematen 25 6 7 12 25
12 Wörgl 23 8 1 14 25
13 Mils 23 5 6 12 21
14 Volders 24 5 5 14 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Fügen 25 66 35 +31 53
2 St. Johann in Tirol 24 56 24 +32 54
3 Swarovski Tirol II 23 54 21 +33 53
4 Silz / Mötz 25 50 58 -8 28
5 Kundl 23 49 37 +12 35
6 Ebbs 25 49 40 +9 35
7 Oberperfuss 25 47 59 -12 29
8 Telfs 24 45 49 -4 29
9 Innsbrucker AC 24 43 34 +9 37
10 Kematen 25 41 59 -18 25
11 Völs 23 34 34 0 33
12 Mils 23 30 55 -25 21
13 Wörgl 23 28 56 -28 25
14 Volders 24 28 59 -31 20