Statistics / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Steiermark / Bruck an der Mur vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit

Bruck an der Mur vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit Statistics & Analysis

Bruck an der Mur Bruck an der Mur
Jun 05, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.98
0 1.61
xG Accuracy: 49%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit Union RB Weinland Gamlit
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bruck an der Mur Bruck an der Mur ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1 1-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1659987

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bruck an der Mur win · Bruck an der Mur 1–0 Union RB Weinland Gamlit
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Landesliga - Steiermark
  • Fixture: Bruck an der Mur vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-05 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.5% · Draw 23.9% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Bruck an der Mur 1.98 — Union RB Weinland Gamlit 1.61 (total xG ≈ 3.59)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 30.4% · Over 2.5 69.5%); BTTS Yes (Yes 70.1% · No 29.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 70.1% · No 29.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.8%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Steiermark Landesliga - Steiermark — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tillmitsch 30 22 4 4 70
2 FSC Hochegger Dächer 30 19 4 7 61
3 Allerheiligen 30 17 8 5 59
4 Wildon 30 16 8 6 56
5 Ilz 30 16 7 7 55
6 Lebring 30 15 5 10 50
7 Fürstenfeld 30 10 11 9 41
8 Bad Waltersdorf 30 11 5 14 38
9 Gnas 30 9 8 13 35
10 Bruck an der Mur 30 9 7 14 34
11 Schladming 30 6 14 10 32
12 UFC Fehring 30 7 10 13 31
13 Köflach 30 6 9 14 27
14 Pachern 30 7 6 17 27
15 Union RB Weinland Gamlit 30 7 6 17 27
16 Leoben 30 5 2 23 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FSC Hochegger Dächer 30 81 33 +48 61
2 Allerheiligen 30 80 49 +31 59
3 Tillmitsch 30 73 37 +36 70
4 Wildon 30 69 42 +27 56
5 Ilz 30 68 42 +26 55
6 Lebring 30 66 57 +9 50
7 Bad Waltersdorf 30 57 59 -2 38
8 Fürstenfeld 30 49 45 +4 41
9 UFC Fehring 30 46 67 -21 31
10 Gnas 30 44 53 -9 35
11 Köflach 30 43 62 -19 27
12 Pachern 30 43 62 -19 27
13 Bruck an der Mur 30 39 64 -25 34
14 Union RB Weinland Gamlit 30 36 61 -25 27
15 Schladming 30 34 48 -14 32
16 Leoben 30 34 83 -49 17