Statistics / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Salzburg / Salzburger AK vs Siezenheim

Salzburger AK vs Siezenheim Statistics & Analysis

May 22, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
5 1.25
xG Accuracy: 32%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Salzburger AK Siezenheim ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 1-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 07:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5177832

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Siezenheim win · Salzburger AK 1–5 Siezenheim
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Landesliga - Salzburg
  • Fixture: Salzburger AK vs Siezenheim
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-22 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Salzburger AK 1.45 — Siezenheim 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 32.1% · Over 2.5 67.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 70.4% · No 29.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 70.4% · No 29.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Landesliga - Salzburg Landesliga - Salzburg — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Grödig 28 24 1 3 73
2 UFC Hallein 28 21 5 2 68
3 Bürmoos 28 16 6 6 54
4 Siezenheim 28 16 0 12 48
5 Bramberg 27 14 4 9 46
6 Straßwalchen 28 14 3 11 45
7 Salzburger AK 29 13 5 11 44
8 Eugendorf 28 12 3 13 39
9 Neumarkt 28 11 4 13 37
10 Union Henndorf 28 9 5 14 32
11 Puch 28 9 4 15 31
12 SV Schwarzach 28 10 1 17 31
13 Anif 28 8 6 14 30
14 Thalgau 28 8 6 14 30
15 Anthering 28 7 4 17 25
16 Hallwang 28 3 1 24 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Grödig 28 94 19 +75 73
2 UFC Hallein 28 78 31 +47 68
3 Thalgau 28 66 80 -14 30
4 Straßwalchen 28 64 60 +4 45
5 Siezenheim 28 63 45 +18 48
6 Bramberg 27 62 46 +16 46
7 Bürmoos 28 56 32 +24 54
8 Salzburger AK 29 49 50 -1 44
9 Neumarkt 28 49 64 -15 37
10 SV Schwarzach 28 47 68 -21 31
11 Eugendorf 28 46 34 +12 39
12 Union Henndorf 28 46 53 -7 32
13 Anif 28 45 49 -4 30
14 Puch 28 42 62 -20 31
15 Anthering 28 42 79 -37 25
16 Hallwang 28 26 103 -77 10