Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 / Manacor vs Mallorca II

Manacor vs Mallorca II Statistics & Analysis

Manacor Manacor
May 09, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 82%
Mallorca II Mallorca II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Draw ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-1, 0-2, 2-2, 0-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1475681

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Manacor 1–1 Mallorca II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
  • Fixture: Manacor vs Mallorca II
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Manacor 1.45 — Mallorca II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 56.2% · Implied: 50.5% · Probability edge: +5.7 pts · Est. EV: +4.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 90.8% · No 9.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (9.3%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Mallorca II 34 26 6 2 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 77
3 Peña Deportiva 34 20 8 6 68
4 Constància 34 19 5 10 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 5 15 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 44
10 Platges Calvià 34 12 6 16 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 41
12 Santanyí 34 11 8 15 41
13 Alcúdia 34 11 6 18 39
14 Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 23
19 Campos 0 0 0 0 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Mallorca II 34 105 22 +83 84
2 Manacor 34 70 39 +31 77
3 Peña Deportiva 34 69 30 +39 68
4 Constància 34 62 29 +33 62
5 Llosetense 34 59 40 +19 58
6 Inter Ibiza 34 42 43 -1 50
7 Santanyí 34 42 58 -16 41
8 Platges Calvià 34 41 42 -1 42
9 Son Cladera 34 41 63 -22 38
10 Formentera 34 40 29 +11 52
11 Cardassar 34 38 55 -17 44
12 Collerense 34 38 63 -25 28
13 Alcúdia 34 36 59 -23 39
14 Rotlet Molinar 34 34 69 -35 23
15 Felanitx 34 32 62 -30 26
16 Mercadal 34 31 44 -13 49
17 Binissalem 34 26 34 -8 41
18 Portmany 34 25 50 -25 30
19 Campos 0 0 0 0 0
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Predictions