Cultural Leonesa II vs Atlético Mansillés Statistics & Analysis

Cultural Leonesa II

May 10, 2026 - 16:00

1 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 82%

Atlético Mansillés

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 draw Draw ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 10, 2026 · 08:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3519158

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Cultural Leonesa II 1–1 Atlético Mansillés

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Fixture: Cultural Leonesa II vs Atlético Mansillés
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Cultural Leonesa II 1.45 — Atlético Mansillés 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 66.3% · Over 2.5 33.7%); BTTS No (Yes 42.4% · No 57.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 42.4% · No 57.6%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (14.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Cultural Leonesa II & Atlético Mansillés!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Atlético Tordesillas	34	24	6	4	78
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	70
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	68
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	64
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	62
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	57
7	Almazán	34	12	12	10	48
8	Mirandés II	34	13	8	13	47
9	La Virgen del Camino	34	12	8	14	44
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	42
11	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	42
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	37
13	Colegios Diocesanos	34	10	6	18	36
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	34
15	Unionistas II	34	6	13	15	31
16	Mojados	34	7	10	17	31
17	Becerril Campos	34	7	8	19	29
18	Numancia II	34	6	6	22	24

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Atlético Tordesillas	34	62	24	+38	78
2	Palencia CF	34	59	39	+20	64
3	Guijuelo	34	54	26	+28	70
4	UD Santa Marta	34	53	31	+22	62
5	Almazán	34	49	38	+11	48
6	Cristo Atlético	34	48	24	+24	68
7	Mirandés II	34	43	35	+8	47
8	Becerril Campos	34	41	60	-19	29
9	Cultural Leonesa II	34	38	43	-5	42
10	Bembibre	34	38	52	-14	34
11	Colegios Diocesanos	34	33	54	-21	36
12	Unionistas II	34	32	43	-11	31
13	Arandina	34	32	46	-14	37
14	Atlético Mansillés	34	31	27	+4	57
15	La Virgen del Camino	34	31	37	-6	44
16	Villaralbo	34	29	37	-8	42
17	Mojados	34	28	55	-27	31
18	Numancia II	34	26	56	-30	24