Statistics / Football / Netherlands. Eredivisie Women / PSV/Eindhoven W vs ADO Den Haag W

PSV/Eindhoven W vs ADO Den Haag W Statistics & Analysis

PSV/Eindhoven W PSV/Eindhoven W
May 08, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
ADO Den Haag W ADO Den Haag W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 PSV/Eindhoven W PSV/Eindhoven W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-1 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 18:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1625198

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result PSV/Eindhoven W win · PSV/Eindhoven W 2–0 ADO Den Haag W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Eredivisie Women
  • Fixture: PSV/Eindhoven W vs ADO Den Haag W
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-08 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): PSV/Eindhoven W 1.45 — ADO Den Haag W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.0% · Over 2.5 62.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-0 (11.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Eredivisie Women Eredivisie Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 PSV/Eindhoven W 21 16 3 2 51
2 Ajax W 21 14 5 2 47
3 Twente W 21 14 4 3 46
4 Feyenoord W 21 13 5 3 44
5 PEC Zwolle W 21 11 1 9 34
6 Utrecht W 21 10 4 7 34
7 Heerenveen W 21 8 2 11 26
8 AZ 21 5 6 10 21
9 Hera United W 21 5 5 11 20
10 ADO Den Haag W 21 5 4 12 19
11 Excelsior W 21 2 2 17 8
12 NAC Breda W 21 2 1 18 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 PSV/Eindhoven W 21 54 14 +40 51
2 Twente W 21 54 17 +37 46
3 Ajax W 21 52 17 +35 47
4 Feyenoord W 21 42 17 +25 44
5 Utrecht W 21 39 36 +3 34
6 Heerenveen W 21 37 48 -11 26
7 PEC Zwolle W 21 35 29 +6 34
8 AZ 21 35 46 -11 21
9 Hera United W 21 23 40 -17 20
10 ADO Den Haag W 21 21 45 -24 19
11 Excelsior W 21 18 50 -32 8
12 NAC Breda W 21 17 68 -51 7
Eredivisie Women Netherlands. Eredivisie Women Predictions