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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Hong Kong FC Warriors ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-4 ✖ Incorrect
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.39
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Warriors win · Hong Kong FC 0–4 Warriors
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 41.8%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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Premier League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 50 |
| 2 | Warriors | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 36 |
| 3 | North District | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 31 |
| 4 | Wofoo Tai Po | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 | Eastern | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Southern District | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | BC Rangers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 18 | 47 | 15 | +32 | 50 |
| 2 | Warriors | 18 | 47 | 19 | +28 | 36 |
| 3 | Wofoo Tai Po | 18 | 36 | 26 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 | North District | 18 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 31 |
| 5 | Eastern | 18 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 18 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 21 |
| 7 | BC Rangers | 18 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 17 |
| 8 | Southern District | 18 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Eastern District | 18 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 18 | 12 | 53 | -41 | 4 |
