Statistics / Football / USA. USL Super League / Dallas Trinity W vs Fort Lauderdale United W

Dallas Trinity W vs Fort Lauderdale United W Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 00:30
4 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 35%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dallas Trinity W Dallas Trinity W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 22:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1515427

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dallas Trinity W win · Dallas Trinity W 4–0 Fort Lauderdale United W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: USL Super League
  • Fixture: Dallas Trinity W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-17 00:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Dallas Trinity W 1.45 — Fort Lauderdale United W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 42.3% · Over 2.5 57.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 56.2% · No 43.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 56.2% · No 43.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
USL Super League USL Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lexington W 28 14 11 3 53
2 Sporting JAX 28 16 5 7 53
3 Carolina Ascent W 28 15 6 7 51
4 Dallas Trinity W 28 11 7 10 40
5 Spokane Zephyr W 28 10 9 9 39
6 DC Power W 28 8 9 11 33
7 Brooklyn W 28 6 8 14 26
8 Tampa Bay Sun W 28 5 9 14 24
9 Fort Lauderdale United W 28 5 8 15 23
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sporting JAX 28 54 32 +22 53
2 Lexington W 28 50 24 +26 53
3 Carolina Ascent W 28 39 27 +12 51
4 Dallas Trinity W 28 36 40 -4 40
5 Spokane Zephyr W 28 34 28 +6 39
6 DC Power W 28 34 32 +2 33
7 Brooklyn W 28 31 44 -13 26
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 28 30 62 -32 23
9 Tampa Bay Sun W 28 27 46 -19 24