Statistics / Football / Egypt. Second League / Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Statistics & Analysis

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
May 07, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0 0-1 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-07 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1.45 — Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 69.0% · Over 2.5 31.0%); BTTS No (Yes 34.9% · No 65.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 34.9% · No 65.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (14.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Best Bet + Reason

Skip unless odds move — the engine sees no line clearing the +EV gate.

Treat this page as a read-only diagnostic: totals/BTTS structure can be informative even when the honest answer is to wait.

Stake sizing should default to zero when no headline +EV exists — experimentation belongs in the discretionary bucket only.

FAQ

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics
Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Olympic El Qanah 33 21 9 3 72
2 Asyut Petrol 33 15 12 6 57
3 Abu Qair Semad 33 14 13 6 55
4 La Viena FC 33 14 11 8 53
5 Masar 33 14 10 9 52
6 Proxy 33 12 16 5 52
7 Itesalat 33 11 13 9 46
8 El Seka El Hadid 33 12 9 12 45
9 El Mansura 33 9 16 8 43
10 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 33 10 11 12 41
11 Dayrout 33 9 13 11 40
12 El Dakhleya 33 10 10 13 40
13 Tersana 33 8 15 10 39
14 El Entag EL Harby 33 10 8 15 38
15 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 33 7 11 15 32
16 Tanta SC 33 5 17 11 32
17 Aswan Sc 33 5 10 18 25
18 Raya Ghazl 33 4 10 19 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Olympic El Qanah 33 53 18 +35 72
2 Masar 33 44 29 +15 52
3 Asyut Petrol 33 41 27 +14 57
4 Proxy 33 40 31 +9 52
5 La Viena FC 33 38 23 +15 53
6 El Entag EL Harby 33 37 47 -10 38
7 Abu Qair Semad 33 36 25 +11 55
8 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 33 34 37 -3 32
9 El Dakhleya 33 31 42 -11 40
10 Itesalat 33 30 31 -1 46
11 Tersana 33 30 31 -1 39
12 El Seka El Hadid 33 28 33 -5 45
13 El Mansura 33 27 26 +1 43
14 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 33 26 28 -2 41
15 Tanta SC 33 26 35 -9 32
16 Dayrout 33 22 30 -8 40
17 Raya Ghazl 33 20 47 -27 22
18 Aswan Sc 33 14 37 -23 25
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