Statistics / Football / Belgium. Reserve Pro League / Patro Eisden U21 vs RAAL La Louviere U21

Patro Eisden U21 vs RAAL La Louviere U21 Statistics & Analysis

Patro Eisden U21 Patro Eisden U21
May 15, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
RAAL La Louviere U21 RAAL La Louviere U21
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Patro Eisden U21 RAAL La Louviere U21 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 1-3 1-3 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1664884

Closing Odds 2.1
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result RAAL La Louviere U21 win · Patro Eisden U21 1–3 RAAL La Louviere U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Patro Eisden U21 (1X2), Draw (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Patro Eisden U21 (1X2) by about 9.4 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Patro Eisden U21 (1X2) 41.8 32.3 +9.4
Draw (1X2) 25.7 24.6 +1.1
RAAL La Louviere U21 (1X2) 32.6 43.1 -10.5
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 41.8% on Patro Eisden U21 (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 32.3%. The difference — about 9.4 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Patro Eisden U21 (1X2) 2.8 2.8 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.68 3.68 0.0
RAAL La Louviere U21 (1X2) 2.1 2.1 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Reserve Pro League
  • Fixture: Patro Eisden U21 vs RAAL La Louviere U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-15 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Patro Eisden U21 1.45 — RAAL La Louviere U21 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 49.4% · Implied: 31.0% · Probability edge: +18.4 pts · Est. EV: +60.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 63.5% · No 36.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.8%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Patro Eisden U21 & RAAL La Louviere U21!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Reserve Pro League Reserve Pro League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lommel U21 21 14 5 2 47
1 Patro Eisden U21 1 0 1 0 1
2 Westerlo U21 22 15 2 5 47
3 Kortrijk U21 21 13 2 6 41
3 Francs Borains U21 0 0 0 0 0
4 RWDM U21 22 12 5 5 41
4 RAAL La Louviere U21 0 0 0 0 0
5 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 23 12 4 7 40
7 Waasland-Beveren U21 22 8 5 9 29
8 Lierse K. U21 21 9 1 11 28
10 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 21 7 2 12 23
12 Sporting Charleroi II 20 4 2 14 14
13 RFC de Liege U21 21 3 0 18 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kortrijk U21 21 66 30 +36 41
2 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 23 61 36 +25 40
3 RWDM U21 22 50 30 +20 41
4 Lommel U21 21 47 22 +25 47
5 Westerlo U21 22 46 32 +14 47
6 Waasland-Beveren U21 22 44 37 +7 29
7 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 21 43 47 -4 23
8 Lierse K. U21 21 40 45 -5 28
9 Sporting Charleroi II 20 26 52 -26 14
10 RFC de Liege U21 21 26 81 -55 9
11 Patro Eisden U21 1 1 1 0 1
12 Francs Borains U21 0 0 0 0 0
13 RAAL La Louviere U21 0 0 0 0 0
Reserve Pro League Belgium. Reserve Pro League Predictions