Francs Borains U21 vs Sporting Charleroi II Statistics & Analysis

Francs Borains U21

May 08, 2026 - 18:00

2 1.45

5 1.25

xG Accuracy: 31%

Sporting Charleroi II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Francs Borains U21 Sporting Charleroi II ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-2, 2-2, 1-1, 2-1, 1-3 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 16:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1896638

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sporting Charleroi II win · Francs Borains U21 2–5 Sporting Charleroi II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Reserve Pro League
Fixture: Francs Borains U21 vs Sporting Charleroi II
Kickoff: 2026-05-08 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Francs Borains U21 1.45 — Sporting Charleroi II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 22.4% · Over 2.5 77.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 60.5% · No 39.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 60.5% · No 39.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (7.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Reserve Pro League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Lommel U21	21	14	5	2	47
1	Patro Eisden U21	1	0	1	0	1
2	Westerlo U21	22	15	2	5	47
3	Kortrijk U21	21	13	2	6	41
3	Francs Borains U21	0	0	0	0	0
4	RWDM U21	22	12	5	5	41
4	RAAL La Louviere U21	0	0	0	0	0
5	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	23	12	4	7	40
7	Waasland-Beveren U21	22	8	5	9	29
8	Lierse K. U21	21	9	1	11	28
10	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	21	7	2	12	23
12	Sporting Charleroi II	20	4	2	14	14
13	RFC de Liege U21	21	3	0	18	9

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Kortrijk U21	21	66	30	+36	41
2	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	23	61	36	+25	40
3	RWDM U21	22	50	30	+20	41
4	Lommel U21	21	47	22	+25	47
5	Westerlo U21	22	46	32	+14	47
6	Waasland-Beveren U21	22	44	37	+7	29
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	21	43	47	-4	23
8	Lierse K. U21	21	40	45	-5	28
9	Sporting Charleroi II	20	26	52	-26	14
10	RFC de Liege U21	21	26	81	-55	9
11	Patro Eisden U21	1	1	1	0	1
12	Francs Borains U21	0	0	0	0	0
13	RAAL La Louviere U21	0	0	0	0	0