Statistics / Football / Egypt. Second League / Raya Ghazl vs Tanta SC

Raya Ghazl vs Tanta SC Statistics & Analysis

Raya Ghazl Raya Ghazl
May 07, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Tanta SC Tanta SC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Raya Ghazl Tanta SC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: Raya Ghazl vs Tanta SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-07 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): Raya Ghazl 1.45 — Tanta SC 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
  • Model: 73.0% · Implied: 59.4% · Probability edge: +13.6 pts · Est. EV: +16.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 27.0% · No 73.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (15.7%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Best Bet + Reason

The engine’s headline primary is: BTTS No.

We separate probability edge (model minus implied, in points of probability) from estimated EV (economic edge at the best price shown on the page).

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics
Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Olympic El Qanah 33 21 9 3 72
2 Asyut Petrol 33 15 12 6 57
3 Abu Qair Semad 33 14 13 6 55
4 La Viena FC 33 14 11 8 53
5 Masar 33 14 10 9 52
6 Proxy 33 12 16 5 52
7 Itesalat 33 11 13 9 46
8 El Seka El Hadid 33 12 9 12 45
9 El Mansura 33 9 16 8 43
10 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 33 10 11 12 41
11 Dayrout 33 9 13 11 40
12 El Dakhleya 33 10 10 13 40
13 Tersana 33 8 15 10 39
14 El Entag EL Harby 33 10 8 15 38
15 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 33 7 11 15 32
16 Tanta SC 33 5 17 11 32
17 Aswan Sc 33 5 10 18 25
18 Raya Ghazl 33 4 10 19 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Olympic El Qanah 33 53 18 +35 72
2 Masar 33 44 29 +15 52
3 Asyut Petrol 33 41 27 +14 57
4 Proxy 33 40 31 +9 52
5 La Viena FC 33 38 23 +15 53
6 El Entag EL Harby 33 37 47 -10 38
7 Abu Qair Semad 33 36 25 +11 55
8 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 33 34 37 -3 32
9 El Dakhleya 33 31 42 -11 40
10 Itesalat 33 30 31 -1 46
11 Tersana 33 30 31 -1 39
12 El Seka El Hadid 33 28 33 -5 45
13 El Mansura 33 27 26 +1 43
14 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 33 26 28 -2 41
15 Tanta SC 33 26 35 -9 32
16 Dayrout 33 22 30 -8 40
17 Raya Ghazl 33 20 47 -27 22
18 Aswan Sc 33 14 37 -23 25
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