Taichung Rock FC vs AC Taipei Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 08:00
1 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 72%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Taichung Rock FC AC Taipei ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 00:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3221875

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AC Taipei win · Taichung Rock FC 1–2 AC Taipei
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Taiwan Football Premier League
  • Fixture: Taichung Rock FC vs AC Taipei
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-17 08:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Taichung Rock FC 1.45 — AC Taipei 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 55.7% · Over 2.5 44.3%); BTTS Yes (Yes 55.6% · No 44.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 55.6% · No 44.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.8%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Taichung Rock FC & AC Taipei!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Taiwan Football Premier League Taiwan Football Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tainan City 21 12 5 4 41
2 Hang Yuen 21 13 2 6 41
3 AC Taipei 21 11 6 4 39
4 Taichung Futuro 21 12 1 8 37
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 8 6 7 30
6 Tatung 21 6 6 9 24
7 Taipower 21 5 5 11 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 1 1 19 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tainan City 21 44 21 +23 41
2 Taichung Futuro 21 36 22 +14 37
3 Hang Yuen 21 35 15 +20 41
4 AC Taipei 21 29 22 +7 39
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 28 30 -2 30
6 Tatung 21 27 28 -1 24
7 Taipower 21 27 33 -6 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 14 69 -55 4