Statistics / Football / Chinese-Taipei. Taiwan Football Premier League / Taichung Rock FC vs Tainan City

Taichung Rock FC vs Tainan City Statistics & Analysis

Taichung Rock FC Taichung Rock FC
May 10, 2026 - 08:00
2 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 40%
Tainan City Tainan City
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Tainan City ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 13:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1600245

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tainan City win · Taichung Rock FC 2–4 Tainan City
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Taiwan Football Premier League
  • Fixture: Taichung Rock FC vs Tainan City
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 08:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Taichung Rock FC 1.45 — Tainan City 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 46.9% · Over 2.5 53.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.9% · No 45.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.9% · No 45.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Taiwan Football Premier League Taiwan Football Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tainan City 21 12 5 4 41
2 Hang Yuen 21 13 2 6 41
3 AC Taipei 21 11 6 4 39
4 Taichung Futuro 21 12 1 8 37
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 8 6 7 30
6 Tatung 21 6 6 9 24
7 Taipower 21 5 5 11 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 1 1 19 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tainan City 21 44 21 +23 41
2 Taichung Futuro 21 36 22 +14 37
3 Hang Yuen 21 35 15 +20 41
4 AC Taipei 21 29 22 +7 39
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 28 30 -2 30
6 Tatung 21 27 28 -1 24
7 Taipower 21 27 33 -6 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 14 69 -55 4