Statistics / Football / Chinese-Taipei. Taiwan Football Premier League / Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro

Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro Statistics & Analysis

Tainan City Tainan City
May 24, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
Taichung Futuro Taichung Futuro
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Tainan City Tainan City ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 11:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2986130

Closing Odds 1.47
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Tainan City win · Tainan City 2–1 Taichung Futuro
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Taichung Futuro (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Taichung Futuro (1X2) by about 16.6 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Tainan City (1X2) 41.8 61.5 -19.7
Draw (1X2) 25.7 22.6 +3.1
Taichung Futuro (1X2) 32.6 15.9 +16.6
Over 2.5 goals 50.6 55.3 -4.7
Under 2.5 goals 49.4 44.7 +4.7
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 32.6% on Taichung Futuro (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 15.9%. The difference — about 16.6 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Tainan City (1X2) 1.47 1.47 0.0
Draw (1X2) 4.0 4.0 0.0
Taichung Futuro (1X2) 5.67 5.67 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.68 1.68 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 2.08 2.08 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Taiwan Football Premier League
  • Fixture: Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-24 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Tainan City 1.45 — Taichung Futuro 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 44.6% · Over 2.5 55.4%); BTTS Yes (Yes 63.2% · No 36.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 63.2% · No 36.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Tainan City & Taichung Futuro!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Taiwan Football Premier League Taiwan Football Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tainan City 21 12 5 4 41
2 Hang Yuen 21 13 2 6 41
3 AC Taipei 21 11 6 4 39
4 Taichung Futuro 21 12 1 8 37
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 8 6 7 30
6 Tatung 21 6 6 9 24
7 Taipower 21 5 5 11 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 1 1 19 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tainan City 21 44 21 +23 41
2 Taichung Futuro 21 36 22 +14 37
3 Hang Yuen 21 35 15 +20 41
4 AC Taipei 21 29 22 +7 39
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 28 30 -2 30
6 Tatung 21 27 28 -1 24
7 Taipower 21 27 33 -6 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 14 69 -55 4