Statistics / Football / Chinese-Taipei. Taiwan Football Premier League / Hang Yuen vs AC Taipei

Hang Yuen vs AC Taipei Statistics & Analysis

Hang Yuen Hang Yuen
May 24, 2026 - 08:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
AC Taipei AC Taipei
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hang Yuen Hang Yuen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 07:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2152927

Closing Odds 1.95
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Hang Yuen win · Hang Yuen 2–0 AC Taipei
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices AC Taipei (1X2), Over 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Over 2.5 goals by about 5.2 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Hang Yuen (1X2) 41.8 45.7 -4.0
Draw (1X2) 25.7 25.5 +0.2
AC Taipei (1X2) 32.6 28.8 +3.8
Over 2.5 goals 50.6 45.4 +5.2
Under 2.5 goals 49.4 54.6 -5.2
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 50.6% on Over 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 45.4%. The difference — about 5.2 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Bet365

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Hang Yuen (1X2) 1.95 1.95 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.5 3.5 0.0
AC Taipei (1X2) 3.1 3.1 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 2.08 2.08 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 1.73 1.73 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Taiwan Football Premier League
  • Fixture: Hang Yuen vs AC Taipei
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-24 08:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Hang Yuen 1.45 — AC Taipei 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 50.6% · Implied: 47.3% · Probability edge: +3.3 pts · Est. EV: +5.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 71.6% · No 28.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.8%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Hang Yuen & AC Taipei!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Taiwan Football Premier League Taiwan Football Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tainan City 21 12 5 4 41
2 Hang Yuen 21 13 2 6 41
3 AC Taipei 21 11 6 4 39
4 Taichung Futuro 21 12 1 8 37
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 8 6 7 30
6 Tatung 21 6 6 9 24
7 Taipower 21 5 5 11 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 1 1 19 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tainan City 21 44 21 +23 41
2 Taichung Futuro 21 36 22 +14 37
3 Hang Yuen 21 35 15 +20 41
4 AC Taipei 21 29 22 +7 39
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 28 30 -2 30
6 Tatung 21 27 28 -1 24
7 Taipower 21 27 33 -6 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 14 69 -55 4