Statistics / Football / France. National 3 - Group H / ASPTT Dijon vs Seyssinet-Pariset

ASPTT Dijon vs Seyssinet-Pariset Statistics & Analysis

ASPTT Dijon ASPTT Dijon
May 09, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 72%
Seyssinet-Pariset Seyssinet-Pariset
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Seyssinet-Pariset ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 22:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1516000

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Seyssinet-Pariset win · ASPTT Dijon 1–2 Seyssinet-Pariset
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National 3 - Group H
  • Fixture: ASPTT Dijon vs Seyssinet-Pariset
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): ASPTT Dijon 1.45 — Seyssinet-Pariset 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 37.0% · Over 2.5 63.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.6% · No 48.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.6% · No 48.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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National 3 - Group H National 3 - Group H — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lyon Duchere 26 16 4 6 52
2 Fos 26 15 6 5 51
3 Olympique d'Alès 26 16 4 6 50
4 Bourgoin-Jallieu 26 13 8 5 47
5 Olympique Marseille II 26 12 6 8 42
6 Cannet Rocheville 26 10 6 10 36
7 Montpellier II 26 11 2 13 35
8 Villefranche SJB 26 9 6 11 33
9 Stade Beaucairois 26 9 6 11 33
10 Gallia Lucciana 26 8 8 10 32
11 Olympique Lyonnais II 26 7 8 11 29
12 ASPTT Dijon 26 5 8 13 23
13 Seyssinet-Pariset 26 6 3 17 21
14 Carnoux 26 4 7 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Olympique d'Alès 26 56 27 +29 50
2 Lyon Duchere 26 54 30 +24 52
3 Fos 26 53 31 +22 51
4 Olympique Marseille II 26 39 26 +13 42
5 Carnoux 26 38 68 -30 15
6 Olympique Lyonnais II 26 37 50 -13 29
7 Seyssinet-Pariset 26 37 58 -21 21
8 Bourgoin-Jallieu 26 36 25 +11 47
9 Gallia Lucciana 26 36 34 +2 32
10 Montpellier II 26 35 45 -10 35
11 Cannet Rocheville 26 34 33 +1 36
12 Villefranche SJB 26 32 36 -4 33
13 Stade Beaucairois 26 27 35 -8 33
14 ASPTT Dijon 26 27 43 -16 23