Blois vs Beauvais Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 16:00
4 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Blois ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 06:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1558522

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Blois win · Blois 4–1 Beauvais
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National 2 - Group B
  • Fixture: Blois vs Beauvais
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Blois 1.45 — Beauvais 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 55.7% · Over 2.5 44.3%); BTTS No (Yes 33.9% · No 66.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 33.9% · No 66.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
National 2 - Group B National 2 - Group B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Thionville Lusitanos 30 18 6 6 60
2 Bourges Foot 18 30 14 10 6 52
3 Haguenau 30 14 9 7 51
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 12 10 8 46
5 Furiani-Agliani 30 13 6 11 45
6 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 30 12 6 12 42
7 Dieppe 30 11 8 11 41
8 Bastia-Borgo 30 11 7 12 40
9 Epinal 30 11 7 12 40
10 Biesheim 30 10 10 10 39
11 Colmar 30 9 11 10 37
12 Beauvais 30 9 11 10 35
13 Wasquehal 30 10 4 16 34
14 Chambly Thelle FC 30 9 10 11 34
15 Chantilly 30 6 9 15 27
16 Blois 30 7 4 19 25
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Thionville Lusitanos 30 53 36 +17 60
2 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 30 48 44 +4 42
3 Furiani-Agliani 30 45 40 +5 45
4 Haguenau 30 43 29 +14 51
5 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 41 24 +17 46
6 Colmar 30 41 43 -2 37
7 Beauvais 30 39 42 -3 35
8 Bourges Foot 18 30 35 24 +11 52
9 Chambly Thelle FC 30 35 35 0 34
10 Bastia-Borgo 30 32 37 -5 40
11 Epinal 30 32 37 -5 40
12 Chantilly 30 32 42 -10 27
13 Dieppe 30 31 36 -5 41
14 Biesheim 30 31 37 -6 39
15 Blois 30 31 47 -16 25
16 Wasquehal 30 28 44 -16 34