Spartak Myjava vs Trenčín II Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Myjava

May 22, 2026 - 17:00

5 1.45

3 1.25

xG Accuracy: 23%

Trenčín II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Spartak Myjava Spartak Myjava ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 5-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 18:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3066876

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spartak Myjava win · Spartak Myjava 5–3 Trenčín II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. liga - West
Fixture: Spartak Myjava vs Trenčín II
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Spartak Myjava 1.45 — Trenčín II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 31.2% · Over 2.5 68.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 69.4% · No 30.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 69.4% · No 30.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.0%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 23, 2026 (UTC)

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