Námestovo vs Banská Byst II Statistics & Analysis

Námestovo

May 16, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Banská Byst II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Námestovo Námestovo ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 06:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3105583

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Námestovo win · Námestovo 2–1 Banská Byst II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 3. liga - Center
Fixture: Námestovo vs Banská Byst II
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Námestovo 1.45 — Banská Byst II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 37.0% · Over 2.5 63.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 86.8% · No 13.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 86.8% · No 13.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. liga - Center — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	MFK Bytča	26	18	5	3	59
2	Banská Byst II	26	15	7	4	52
3	Námestovo	26	17	3	6	54
4	Novohrad Lučenec	26	12	7	7	43
5	Fiľakovo	26	13	4	9	43
6	Fomat Martin	26	11	7	8	40
7	Rimavská Sobota	26	10	6	10	36
8	Ružomberok II	26	10	6	10	36
9	Podkonice	26	10	4	12	34
10	Baník Kalinovo	26	9	3	14	30
11	Oravské Veselé	26	7	5	14	26
12	Dolný Kubín	26	5	7	14	22
13	Kysucké Nové Mesto	26	4	6	16	18
14	Jednota Bánová	26	3	6	17	15

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Námestovo	26	66	28	+38	54
2	MFK Bytča	26	57	30	+27	59
3	Rimavská Sobota	26	53	57	-4	36
4	Fomat Martin	26	51	38	+13	40
5	Ružomberok II	26	50	44	+6	36
6	Banská Byst II	26	49	29	+20	52
7	Fiľakovo	26	46	44	+2	43
8	Dolný Kubín	26	42	63	-21	22
9	Podkonice	26	40	40	0	34
10	Novohrad Lučenec	26	39	33	+6	43
11	Oravské Veselé	26	36	45	-9	26
12	Baník Kalinovo	26	30	43	-13	30
13	Jednota Bánová	26	26	59	-33	15
14	Kysucké Nové Mesto	26	19	51	-32	18