Geylang International vs Balestier Khalsa Statistics & Analysis

Geylang International

May 02, 2026 - 11:30

2 1.45

3 1.25

xG Accuracy: 53%

Balestier Khalsa

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Geylang International Balestier Khalsa ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 06:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1832515

Closing Odds 4.25

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Balestier Khalsa win · Geylang International 2–3 Balestier Khalsa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE10 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Draw (1X2) by about 3.6 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Geylang International (1X2)	41.8	44.3	-2.5
Draw (1X2)	25.7	22.1	+3.6
Balestier Khalsa (1X2)	32.6	33.6	-1.1

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 25.7% on Draw (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 22.1%. The difference — about 3.6 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE10 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE10)	Closing (PRE1)
Geylang International (1X2)	2.12	2.12
Draw (1X2)	4.25	4.25
Balestier Khalsa (1X2)	2.79	2.79

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Home United	20	16	3	1	51
2	Albirex Niigata S	21	15	2	4	47
3	Tampines Rovers	20	14	4	2	46
4	Balestier Khalsa	21	11	2	8	35
5	Geylang International	21	7	3	11	24
6	Hougang United	20	7	0	13	21
7	Young Lions	21	2	3	16	9
8	Tanjong Pagar	20	1	1	18	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Home United	20	68	11	+57	51
2	Tampines Rovers	20	55	19	+36	46
3	Albirex Niigata S	21	47	19	+28	47
4	Balestier Khalsa	21	44	46	-2	35
5	Geylang International	21	29	42	-13	24
6	Hougang United	20	23	39	-16	21
7	Young Lions	21	15	58	-43	9
8	Tanjong Pagar	20	15	62	-47	4