ZESCO United vs Zanaco Statistics & Analysis

ZESCO United

May 24, 2026 - 11:00

6 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 27%

Zanaco

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 ZESCO United ZESCO United ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 22:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5375933

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result ZESCO United win · ZESCO United 6–1 Zanaco

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Super League
Fixture: ZESCO United vs Zanaco
Kickoff: 2026-05-24 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): ZESCO United 1.45 — Zanaco 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 75.7% · Over 2.5 24.3%); BTTS No (Yes 41.8% · No 58.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 41.8% · No 58.2%
Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (18.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Super League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Power Dynamos	34	23	9	2	78
2	Red Arrows	34	17	12	5	63
3	Man Utd Zambia Academy	34	14	9	11	51
4	Kabwe Warriors	34	14	9	11	51
5	Nchanga Rangers	34	14	8	12	50
6	Green Eagles	34	13	11	10	50
7	Zanaco	34	14	8	12	50
8	Mufulira Wanderers	34	14	7	13	49
9	Konkola Blades	34	11	15	8	48
10	ZESCO United	34	13	8	13	47
11	Kansanshi Dynamos	34	10	13	11	43
12	Green Buffaloes	34	9	14	11	41
13	Nkana	34	9	12	13	39
14	Nkwazi	34	8	13	13	37
15	NAPSA Stars	34	8	12	14	36
16	Mutondo Stars	34	7	14	13	35
17	Prison Leopards	34	7	13	14	34
18	Mines	34	3	9	22	18

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Power Dynamos	34	53	18	+35	78
2	Red Arrows	34	44	22	+22	63
3	ZESCO United	34	39	30	+9	47
4	Man Utd Zambia Academy	34	35	30	+5	51
5	Konkola Blades	34	32	28	+4	48
6	Nchanga Rangers	34	31	26	+5	50
7	Kabwe Warriors	34	30	25	+5	51
8	Zanaco	34	30	30	0	50
9	Green Eagles	34	29	25	+4	50
10	Kansanshi Dynamos	34	28	26	+2	43
11	Green Buffaloes	34	27	34	-7	41
12	NAPSA Stars	34	25	33	-8	36
13	Prison Leopards	34	25	37	-12	34
14	Nkana	34	23	30	-7	39
15	Mutondo Stars	34	23	34	-11	35
16	Mufulira Wanderers	34	22	25	-3	49
17	Nkwazi	34	21	28	-7	37
18	Mines	34	19	55	-36	18