Statistics / Football / Albania. Superliga / Teuta Durrës vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Teuta Durrës vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Statistics & Analysis

Teuta Durrës Teuta Durrës
May 10, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 53%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Teuta Durrës ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 04:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5159158

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Teuta Durrës win · Teuta Durrës 3–2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Superliga
  • Fixture: Teuta Durrës vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Teuta Durrës 1.45 — Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 70.4% · Over 2.5 29.6%); BTTS No (Yes 38.1% · No 61.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 38.1% · No 61.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (15.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Teuta Durrës & Egnatia Rrogozhinë!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Superliga Superliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vllaznia Shkodër 36 18 9 9 63
2 AF Elbasani 36 17 11 8 62
3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 36 16 9 11 57
4 Dinamo Tirana 36 12 13 11 49
5 Partizani 36 13 9 14 48
6 Tirana 36 11 11 14 44
7 Vora 36 10 12 14 42
8 Teuta Durrës 36 9 15 12 42
9 Bylis 36 10 11 15 41
10 Flamurtari 36 8 12 16 36
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 AF Elbasani 36 48 37 +11 62
2 Dinamo Tirana 36 43 33 +10 49
3 Vllaznia Shkodër 36 42 27 +15 63
4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 36 42 34 +8 57
5 Vora 36 39 40 -1 42
6 Flamurtari 36 39 45 -6 36
7 Partizani 36 38 48 -10 48
8 Bylis 36 38 50 -12 41
9 Tirana 36 36 46 -10 44
10 Teuta Durrës 36 32 37 -5 42