Gödöllő vs Kisvárda II Statistics & Analysis

Gödöllő

May 24, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 82%

Kisvárda II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Gödöllő Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 09:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2983026

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Gödöllő 1–1 Kisvárda II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: NB III - Northeast
Fixture: Gödöllő vs Kisvárda II
Kickoff: 2026-05-24 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Gödöllő 1.45 — Kisvárda II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 42.3% · Over 2.5 57.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 65.6% · No 34.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 65.6% · No 34.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.9%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

NB III - Northeast — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kisvárda II	30	20	7	3	67
2	Cigand SE	30	18	7	5	61
3	DEAC	30	18	7	5	61
4	Tiszafuredi VSE	30	16	8	6	56
5	Debrecen II	30	16	7	7	55
6	Tarpa	30	12	11	7	47
7	Gödöllő	30	11	7	12	40
8	Diósgyőr II	30	11	5	14	38
9	Nyiregyhaza II	30	11	4	15	37
10	Eger	30	11	4	15	37
11	Tiszaújváros	30	9	7	14	34
12	Putnok VSE	30	9	5	16	32
13	Füzesabony	30	7	9	14	30
14	Ózd Sajóvölgye	30	7	8	15	29
15	Sényő Carnifex	30	7	7	16	28
16	FC Hatvan	30	5	1	24	16

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Cigand SE	30	66	30	+36	61
2	Debrecen II	30	66	40	+26	55
3	Nyiregyhaza II	30	65	56	+9	37
4	DEAC	30	63	29	+34	61
5	Tiszafuredi VSE	30	61	36	+25	56
6	Kisvárda II	30	60	22	+38	67
7	Gödöllő	30	52	44	+8	40
8	Ózd Sajóvölgye	30	51	68	-17	29
9	Diósgyőr II	30	48	58	-10	38
10	Eger	30	46	71	-25	37
11	Putnok VSE	30	44	52	-8	32
12	Tiszaújváros	30	41	66	-25	34
13	Tarpa	30	39	28	+11	47
14	FC Hatvan	30	37	81	-44	16
15	Sényő Carnifex	30	32	74	-42	28
16	Füzesabony	30	25	41	-16	30