Veszprém vs Újpest II Statistics & Analysis

Veszprém

May 24, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Újpest II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Veszprém Veszprém ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1629464

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Veszprém win · Veszprém 2–1 Újpest II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NB III - Northwest
Fixture: Veszprém vs Újpest II
Kickoff: 2026-05-24 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Veszprém 1.45 — Újpest II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 45.8% · Over 2.5 54.2%); BTTS No (Yes 49.2% · No 50.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 49.2% · No 50.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

NB III - Northwest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Gyirmot SE	30	27	1	2	82
2	Tatabánya	30	20	2	8	62
3	Dorogi FC	30	18	4	8	58
4	Puskás II	30	17	3	10	54
5	Komárom	30	15	6	9	51
6	Haladás VSE	30	15	6	9	51
7	MTE 1904	30	14	5	11	47
8	Veszprém	30	12	8	10	44
9	Budaörs	30	12	5	13	41
10	Bicskei	30	10	6	14	36
11	Gyori ETO II	30	10	4	16	34
12	Újpest II	30	9	7	14	34
13	SC Sopron	30	9	7	14	34
14	Pápai Perutz	30	6	4	20	22
15	Balatonfüredi	30	4	6	20	18
16	Zsámbéki SK	30	3	4	23	13

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Gyirmot SE	30	106	20	+86	82
2	Tatabánya	30	64	37	+27	62
3	Komárom	30	59	45	+14	51
4	Puskás II	30	58	37	+21	54
5	Budaörs	30	53	51	+2	41
6	Bicskei	30	50	51	-1	36
7	Dorogi FC	30	49	34	+15	58
8	MTE 1904	30	48	33	+15	47
9	Gyori ETO II	30	47	63	-16	34
10	Újpest II	30	46	50	-4	34
11	Haladás VSE	30	43	32	+11	51
12	SC Sopron	30	43	58	-15	34
13	Pápai Perutz	30	43	83	-40	22
14	Veszprém	30	36	37	-1	44
15	Zsámbéki SK	30	35	107	-72	13
16	Balatonfüredi	30	20	62	-42	18