Szekszárd vs Paksi SE II Statistics & Analysis

Szekszárd

May 24, 2026 - 15:00

3 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 53%

Paksi SE II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Szekszárd Szekszárd ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 1-3 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 21:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1932844

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Szekszárd win · Szekszárd 3–2 Paksi SE II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NB III - Southwest
Fixture: Szekszárd vs Paksi SE II
Kickoff: 2026-05-24 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Szekszárd 1.45 — Paksi SE II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 29.4% · Over 2.5 70.6%); BTTS No (Yes 47.4% · No 52.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 47.4% · No 52.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

NB III - Southwest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Nagykanizsai ULE	30	21	6	3	69
2	Pécsi MFC	30	20	7	3	67
3	Kaposvar	30	20	3	7	63
4	Ferencváros II	30	17	4	9	55
5	Majosi	30	17	3	10	54
6	MTK Budapest II	30	16	4	10	52
7	Érdi VSE	30	15	7	8	52
8	Dunaújváros-Pálhalma	30	13	10	7	49
9	Iváncsa	30	11	6	13	39
10	Siofok	30	11	5	14	38
11	Paksi SE II	30	10	2	18	32
12	Szekszárd	30	9	4	17	31
13	PTE-PEAC	30	6	10	14	28
14	Balatonlelle SE	30	6	6	18	24
15	Pénzügyőr	30	4	8	18	20
16	Dombóvári	30	0	3	27	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Majosi	30	78	49	+29	54
2	Pécsi MFC	30	71	25	+46	67
3	Nagykanizsai ULE	30	64	27	+37	69
4	Kaposvar	30	64	32	+32	63
5	Ferencváros II	30	63	43	+20	55
6	MTK Budapest II	30	62	33	+29	52
7	Dunaújváros-Pálhalma	30	58	42	+16	49
8	Iváncsa	30	49	44	+5	39
9	Érdi VSE	30	47	39	+8	52
10	Szekszárd	30	43	75	-32	31
11	Paksi SE II	30	42	62	-20	32
12	Siofok	30	40	55	-15	38
13	PTE-PEAC	30	39	51	-12	28
14	Pénzügyőr	30	31	61	-30	20
15	Balatonlelle SE	30	24	53	-29	24
16	Dombóvári	30	22	106	-84	3