Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Bremen / Hemelingen vs Vatan Sport

Hemelingen vs Vatan Sport Statistics & Analysis

Hemelingen Hemelingen
May 15, 2026 - 17:15
7 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 18%
Vatan Sport Vatan Sport
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hemelingen Hemelingen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 3-1, 2-1, 4-1, 3-0, 2-0 7-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 13, 2026 · 13:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3856868

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hemelingen win · Hemelingen 7–2 Vatan Sport
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Bremen
  • Fixture: Hemelingen vs Vatan Sport
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-15 17:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Hemelingen 1.45 — Vatan Sport 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 16.8% · Over 2.5 83.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 78.6% · No 21.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 78.6% · No 21.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 3-1 (7.9%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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