Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Bremen / Blumenthaler SV vs Habenhauser FV

Blumenthaler SV vs Habenhauser FV Statistics & Analysis

Blumenthaler SV Blumenthaler SV
May 09, 2026 - 13:30
5 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 27%
Habenhauser FV Habenhauser FV
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Habenhauser FV Blumenthaler SV ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 3-1, 2-1, 4-1, 3-0, 3-2 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 10:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1588446

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Blumenthaler SV win · Blumenthaler SV 5–0 Habenhauser FV
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Bremen
  • Fixture: Habenhauser FV vs Blumenthaler SV
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Habenhauser FV 1.45 — Blumenthaler SV 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 16.8% · Over 2.5 83.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 85.2% · No 14.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 85.2% · No 14.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 3-1 (7.7%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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