Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Bremen / Union Bremen vs Hemelingen

Union Bremen vs Hemelingen Statistics & Analysis

Union Bremen Union Bremen
May 09, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 32%
Hemelingen Hemelingen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Draw ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 1-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 03:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1807205

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Union Bremen 0–0 Hemelingen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Bremen
  • Fixture: Union Bremen vs Hemelingen
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Union Bremen 1.45 — Hemelingen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 16.8% · Over 2.5 83.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 81.5% · No 18.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 81.5% · No 18.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (7.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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