Kilia Kiel vs Inter Türkspor Kiel Statistics & Analysis

Kilia Kiel

May 16, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Inter Türkspor Kiel

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Kilia Kiel Kilia Kiel ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 2-1, 3-1, 2-0, 3-0, 1-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 16:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2994198

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kilia Kiel win · Kilia Kiel 2–1 Inter Türkspor Kiel

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Fixture: Kilia Kiel vs Inter Türkspor Kiel
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Kilia Kiel 1.45 — Inter Türkspor Kiel 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 25.3% · Over 2.5 74.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 55.4% · No 44.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 55.4% · No 44.6%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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