Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal vs Pogoń Szczecin II Statistics & Analysis

Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal

May 30, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.45

4 1.25

xG Accuracy: 42%

Pogoń Szczecin II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal Pogoń Szczecin II ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-1, 0-2, 1-3, 0-1 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3230462

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Pogoń Szczecin II win · Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 1–4 Pogoń Szczecin II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: III Liga - Group 2
Fixture: Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal vs Pogoń Szczecin II
Kickoff: 2026-05-30 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 1.45 — Pogoń Szczecin II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 30.3% · Over 2.5 69.7%); BTTS No (Yes 35.8% · No 64.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 35.8% · No 64.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (9.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

III Liga - Group 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	34	25	5	4	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	76
3	Polonia Środa	34	20	6	8	66
4	Lipno Stęszew	34	15	6	13	51
5	Noteć Czarnków	34	14	7	14	49
6	Elana Toruń	34	14	7	13	49
7	Lech Poznań II	34	14	7	13	49
8	Flota Świnoujście	34	14	7	13	49
9	Wda Świecie	34	14	6	14	48
10	Unia Swarzędz	34	13	8	13	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	46
12	Stargard Szczeciński	34	12	9	13	45
13	Victoria Września	34	13	3	18	42
14	Pogoń Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	41
15	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38
17	Tłuchowia	34	8	6	19	31
18	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	15

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Luzino	34	79	39	+40	76
2	Pogoń Szczecin II	34	75	66	+9	41
3	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	34	73	23	+50	80
4	Polonia Środa	34	67	43	+24	66
5	Lech Poznań II	34	67	54	+13	49
6	Stargard Szczeciński	34	56	51	+5	45
7	Kluczevia Stargard	34	54	43	+11	46
8	Noteć Czarnków	34	49	46	+3	49
9	Elana Toruń	34	49	55	-6	49
10	Flota Świnoujście	34	48	52	-4	49
11	Unia Swarzędz	34	47	41	+6	47
12	Lipno Stęszew	34	47	54	-7	51
13	Wda Świecie	34	44	66	-22	48
14	Victoria Września	34	41	46	-5	42
15	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	38	51	-13	38
16	Tłuchowia	34	37	66	-29	31
17	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	35	46	-11	39
18	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	34	20	84	-64	15