Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Bayern Süd / Türkspor Augsburg vs Pipinsried

Türkspor Augsburg vs Pipinsried Statistics & Analysis

Türkspor Augsburg Türkspor Augsburg
May 09, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.45
5 1.25
xG Accuracy: 31%
Pipinsried Pipinsried
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Pipinsried ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-2, 0-1, 1-2, 1-1, 0-3 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3095778

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pipinsried win · Türkspor Augsburg 2–5 Pipinsried
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Bayern Süd
  • Fixture: Türkspor Augsburg vs Pipinsried
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Türkspor Augsburg 1.45 — Pipinsried 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.4% · Over 2.5 56.6%); BTTS No (Yes 37.9% · No 62.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 37.9% · No 62.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-2 (11.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Bayern Süd Oberliga - Bayern Süd — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 1860 München II 32 21 5 6 68
2 Landsberg 32 18 11 3 65
3 Kirchanschöring 32 16 10 6 58
4 Gundelfingen 32 16 7 9 55
5 Erlbach 32 16 5 11 53
6 Pipinsried 32 15 7 10 52
7 Heimstetten 32 14 9 9 51
8 Deisenhofen 32 13 10 9 49
9 Sportfreunde Schwaig 32 12 9 11 45
10 TuS Geretsried 32 12 8 12 44
11 Nordlingen 32 11 11 10 44
12 Ismaning 32 11 9 12 42
13 Schalding-Heining 32 9 11 12 38
14 Kottern 32 9 6 17 33
15 Sturm Hauzenberg 32 6 5 21 23
16 Türkspor Augsburg 32 4 5 23 17
17 Türkgücü-Ataspor 32 3 4 25 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Landsberg 32 79 43 +36 65
2 1860 München II 32 74 26 +48 68
3 Kirchanschöring 32 67 35 +32 58
4 Heimstetten 32 64 46 +18 51
5 Pipinsried 32 58 37 +21 52
6 Nordlingen 32 58 58 0 44
7 Gundelfingen 32 51 33 +18 55
8 Ismaning 32 50 58 -8 42
9 TuS Geretsried 32 49 46 +3 44
10 Sportfreunde Schwaig 32 48 44 +4 45
11 Deisenhofen 32 44 47 -3 49
12 Schalding-Heining 32 43 50 -7 38
13 Erlbach 32 42 35 +7 53
14 Kottern 32 40 57 -17 33
15 Türkspor Augsburg 32 28 83 -55 17
16 Sturm Hauzenberg 32 24 64 -40 23
17 Türkgücü-Ataspor 32 21 78 -57 13
Oberliga - Bayern Süd Germany. Oberliga - Bayern Süd Predictions