Phönix Lübeck vs Altona 93 Statistics & Analysis

Phönix Lübeck

May 10, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Altona 93

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 13:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5220585

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Phönix Lübeck win · Phönix Lübeck 2–1 Altona 93

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga - Nord
Fixture: Phönix Lübeck vs Altona 93
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Phönix Lübeck 1.45 — Altona 93 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 35.9% · Over 2.5 64.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - Nord — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	SV Meppen	34	26	5	3	83
2	SV Drochtersen/Assel	34	22	4	8	70
3	VfB Oldenburg	34	21	6	7	69
4	SSV Jeddeloh	34	19	7	8	64
5	Phönix Lübeck	34	16	8	10	56
6	Hannover 96 II	34	16	5	13	53
7	Bremer SV	34	14	10	10	52
8	Weiche Flensburg	34	14	7	13	49
9	Kickers Emden	34	14	9	11	51
10	Hamburger SV II	34	13	8	13	47
11	VfB Lübeck	34	12	9	13	45
12	Werder Bremen II	34	10	10	14	40
13	HSC Hannover	34	10	7	17	37
14	Schöningen	34	10	4	20	34
15	Eintracht Norderstedt	34	7	9	18	30
16	St. Pauli II	34	4	13	17	25
17	BW Lohne	34	5	8	21	23
18	Altona 93	34	6	5	23	23

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SV Meppen	34	103	35	+68	83
2	VfB Oldenburg	34	87	45	+42	69
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	34	83	48	+35	70
4	SSV Jeddeloh	34	81	50	+31	64
5	Weiche Flensburg	34	69	63	+6	49
6	Kickers Emden	34	64	54	+10	51
7	Hannover 96 II	34	63	49	+14	53
8	Hamburger SV II	34	57	50	+7	47
9	Werder Bremen II	34	57	71	-14	40
10	Schöningen	34	56	84	-28	34
11	VfB Lübeck	34	54	61	-7	45
12	Phönix Lübeck	34	53	43	+10	56
13	Bremer SV	34	52	41	+11	52
14	Eintracht Norderstedt	34	51	79	-28	30
15	HSC Hannover	34	49	84	-35	37
16	Altona 93	34	44	92	-48	23
17	St. Pauli II	34	38	72	-34	25
18	BW Lohne	34	38	78	-40	23