Auerbach vs Einheit Rudolstadt Statistics & Analysis

Auerbach

May 09, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 82%

Einheit Rudolstadt

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Auerbach Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1550493

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Auerbach 1–1 Einheit Rudolstadt

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd
Fixture: Auerbach vs Einheit Rudolstadt
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Auerbach 1.45 — Einheit Rudolstadt 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 40.1% · Over 2.5 59.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 59.9% · No 40.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 59.9% · No 40.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	RSV Eintracht	30	20	8	2	68
2	SC Freital	30	19	2	9	59
3	Plauen	30	18	5	7	59
4	Auerbach	30	14	9	7	51
5	Germania Halberstadt	30	14	6	10	48
6	VfL Halle	30	13	7	10	46
7	Budissa Bautzen	30	12	9	9	45
8	Krieschow	30	12	7	11	43
9	Union Sandersdorf	30	10	9	11	39
10	Empor Glauchau	29	10	7	12	37
11	Einheit Wernigerode	30	9	6	15	33
12	Einheit Rudolstadt	29	9	6	14	33
13	FC Lok Stendal	30	8	6	16	30
14	FC Grimma	30	8	4	18	28
15	Bischofswerdaer FV	30	6	7	17	25
16	Heiligenstadt	30	4	8	18	20

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	VfL Halle	30	68	45	+23	46
2	RSV Eintracht	30	61	29	+32	68
3	SC Freital	30	57	28	+29	59
4	Budissa Bautzen	30	57	46	+11	45
5	Plauen	30	52	28	+24	59
6	Auerbach	30	51	37	+14	51
7	Germania Halberstadt	30	49	44	+5	48
8	Krieschow	30	48	42	+6	43
9	FC Grimma	30	47	73	-26	28
10	Empor Glauchau	29	42	49	-7	37
11	Einheit Wernigerode	30	41	58	-17	33
12	FC Lok Stendal	30	41	59	-18	30
13	Union Sandersdorf	30	40	41	-1	39
14	Einheit Rudolstadt	29	36	56	-20	33
15	Bischofswerdaer FV	30	36	61	-25	25
16	Heiligenstadt	30	33	63	-30	20