Gau-Odernheim vs Auersmacher Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gau-Odernheim Auersmacher ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
  • Fixture: Gau-Odernheim vs Auersmacher
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Gau-Odernheim 1.45 — Auersmacher 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 39.0% · Over 2.5 61.0%); BTTS No (Yes 48.6% · No 51.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 48.6% · No 51.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

The cards may still show value leans (e.g. a preferred Under or a BTTS side) where prices are inefficient or incomplete — that is not the same as a positive-EV ticket at the configured threshold.

Re-check after material price moves; edges appear and disappear with liquidity.

FAQ

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kaiserslautern II 33 24 6 3 78
2 Pirmasens 33 23 6 4 75
3 FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 32 19 5 8 62
4 TuS Koblenz 33 17 10 6 61
4 Karbach 28 16 4 8 52
5 FV Engers 07 32 17 3 12 54
6 Hertha Wiesbach 32 16 2 14 50
7 TuS RW Koblenz 32 14 4 14 46
8 Wormatia Worms 32 13 6 13 45
9 Cosmos Koblenz 31 13 6 12 42
10 Gau-Odernheim 32 11 9 12 42
11 Auersmacher 32 12 5 15 41
12 Gonsenheim 32 12 3 17 39
13 Diefflen 32 10 6 16 36
14 Eisbachtal 32 9 7 16 34
15 Dudenhofen 32 8 9 15 33
16 SC Idar-Oberstein 32 8 8 16 32
17 Arminia Ludwigshafen 32 8 7 17 31
18 Eppelborn 32 3 2 27 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pirmasens 33 99 42 +57 75
2 Kaiserslautern II 33 92 38 +54 78
3 FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 32 75 50 +25 62
4 TuS Koblenz 33 73 41 +32 61
5 Wormatia Worms 32 67 53 +14 45
6 Karbach 28 64 44 +20 52
7 Hertha Wiesbach 32 64 64 0 50
8 FV Engers 07 32 62 55 +7 54
9 TuS RW Koblenz 32 60 51 +9 46
10 Diefflen 32 60 74 -14 36
11 Eisbachtal 32 58 64 -6 34
12 Auersmacher 32 51 66 -15 41
13 Arminia Ludwigshafen 32 50 80 -30 31
14 SC Idar-Oberstein 32 50 84 -34 32
15 Cosmos Koblenz 31 48 50 -2 42
16 Gonsenheim 32 48 55 -7 39
17 Dudenhofen 32 46 63 -17 33
18 Gau-Odernheim 32 42 45 -3 42
19 Eppelborn 32 34 104 -70 11