Dudenhofen vs Diefflen Statistics & Analysis

Dudenhofen

May 09, 2026 - 13:30

1 1.45

3 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Diefflen

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 draw Diefflen ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 1-3 1-3 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 22:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1933953

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Diefflen win · Dudenhofen 1–3 Diefflen

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Fixture: Dudenhofen vs Diefflen
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Dudenhofen 1.45 — Diefflen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 25.3% · Over 2.5 74.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 69.0% · No 31.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 69.0% · No 31.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (7.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kaiserslautern II	34	25	6	3	81
2	Pirmasens	34	24	6	4	78
3	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	34	20	5	9	65
4	TuS Koblenz	34	17	10	7	61
4	Karbach	28	16	4	8	52
5	FV Engers 07	34	16	5	13	53
6	TuS RW Koblenz	34	16	4	14	52
7	Hertha Wiesbach	34	16	3	16	51
8	Wormatia Worms	34	14	6	14	48
9	Gau-Odernheim	34	13	10	11	48
10	Cosmos Koblenz	34	14	7	13	46
11	Gonsenheim	34	14	3	17	45
12	Auersmacher	34	12	5	17	41
13	Diefflen	34	11	6	17	39
14	Eisbachtal	34	9	8	17	35
15	Arminia Ludwigshafen	34	10	7	17	37
16	Dudenhofen	34	9	9	16	36
17	SC Idar-Oberstein	34	7	8	18	29
18	Eppelborn	34	3	2	29	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Pirmasens	34	103	43	+60	78
2	Kaiserslautern II	34	97	39	+58	81
3	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	34	82	57	+25	65
4	TuS Koblenz	34	75	44	+31	61
5	Wormatia Worms	34	73	60	+13	48
6	TuS RW Koblenz	34	68	55	+13	52
7	Hertha Wiesbach	34	67	71	-4	51
8	FV Engers 07	34	66	61	+5	53
9	Karbach	28	64	44	+20	52
10	Diefflen	34	64	79	-15	39
11	Eisbachtal	34	62	69	-7	35
12	Arminia Ludwigshafen	34	55	80	-25	37
13	Cosmos Koblenz	34	54	57	-3	46
14	Gonsenheim	34	54	58	-4	45
15	Dudenhofen	34	52	66	-14	36
16	Auersmacher	34	52	72	-20	41
17	SC Idar-Oberstein	34	52	90	-38	29
18	Gau-Odernheim	34	48	47	+1	48
19	Eppelborn	34	37	113	-76	11