Oberachern vs VfR Aalen Statistics & Analysis

Oberachern

May 23, 2026 - 13:30

0 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 53%

VfR Aalen

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Oberachern Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-2, 0-2, 1-1, 0-1, 1-3 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1790953

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Oberachern 0–0 VfR Aalen

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Fixture: Oberachern vs VfR Aalen
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Oberachern 1.45 — VfR Aalen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.0% · Over 2.5 62.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 73.6% · No 26.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 73.6% · No 26.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (9.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Oberachern & VfR Aalen!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	VfR Aalen	34	26	5	3	83
2	VfR Mannheim	34	20	9	5	69
3	FC Nöttingen	34	18	4	12	58
4	FV Ravensburg	34	16	9	9	57
5	Essingen	34	14	12	8	54
6	Oberachern	34	16	6	12	54
7	CFR Pforzheim	34	12	12	10	48
8	Reutlingen	34	12	11	11	47
9	FC 08 Villingen	34	12	11	11	47
10	Karlsruhe II	34	11	10	13	43
11	Backnang	34	12	7	16	42
12	TSV Singen	34	12	4	18	40
13	Normannia Gmünd	34	9	12	13	39
14	Türkspor Neckarsulm	34	11	6	17	39
15	Göppinger SV	34	9	9	16	36
16	Hollenbach	34	9	8	17	35
17	Bissingen	34	7	12	15	33
18	Denzlingen	34	5	4	25	19

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	VfR Aalen	34	87	24	+63	83
2	FC Nöttingen	34	82	61	+21	58
3	VfR Mannheim	34	81	34	+47	69
4	CFR Pforzheim	34	68	61	+7	48
5	FV Ravensburg	34	61	52	+9	57
6	Reutlingen	34	56	50	+6	47
7	Hollenbach	34	56	69	-13	35
8	FC 08 Villingen	34	55	56	-1	47
9	TSV Singen	34	55	81	-26	40
10	Essingen	34	54	58	-4	54
11	Karlsruhe II	34	54	61	-7	43
12	Oberachern	34	54	62	-8	54
13	Bissingen	34	54	81	-27	33
14	Normannia Gmünd	34	53	51	+2	39
15	Göppinger SV	34	53	53	0	36
16	Türkspor Neckarsulm	34	52	61	-9	39
17	Backnang	34	50	67	-17	42
18	Denzlingen	34	35	78	-43	19