Terengganu vs Imigresen Statistics & Analysis

Terengganu

May 08, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.45

3 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Imigresen

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Terengganu Imigresen ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 17:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1478041

Closing Odds 1.48

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Imigresen win · Terengganu 1–3 Imigresen

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Imigresen (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 15.9 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Terengganu (1X2)	41.8	61.9	-20.1
Draw (1X2)	25.7	20.6	+5.1
Imigresen (1X2)	32.6	17.5	+15.0
Over 2.5 goals	50.6	66.5	-15.9
Under 2.5 goals	49.4	33.5	+15.9

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 49.4% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 33.5%. The difference — about 15.9 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Terengganu (1X2)	1.48	1.48
Draw (1X2)	4.45	4.45
Imigresen (1X2)	5.22	5.22
Over 2.5 goals	1.4	1.4
Under 2.5 goals	2.78	2.78

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Super League
Fixture: Terengganu vs Imigresen
Kickoff: 2026-05-08 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Terengganu 1.45 — Imigresen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 37.0% · Over 2.5 63.0%); BTTS No (Yes 55.8% · No 44.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 55.8% · No 44.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Terengganu & Imigresen!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Super League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Johor Darul Takzim FC	24	23	1	0	70
2	Kuching FA	24	16	5	3	53
3	Selangor	24	16	4	4	52
4	Kuala Lumpur FA	24	12	7	5	43
5	Terengganu	24	10	6	8	36
6	Imigresen	24	9	5	10	32
7	Negeri Sembilan	24	6	11	7	29
8	Penang	24	6	7	11	25
9	Sabah FA	24	5	8	11	23
10	DPMM FC	24	6	5	13	23
11	Melaka	24	4	7	13	19
12	Kelantan United	24	4	3	17	15
13	Pdrm	24	2	5	17	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Johor Darul Takzim FC	24	117	10	+107	70
2	Selangor	24	59	20	+39	52
3	Kuching FA	24	45	14	+31	53
4	Kuala Lumpur FA	24	40	29	+11	43
5	Terengganu	24	39	34	+5	36
6	Negeri Sembilan	24	39	35	+4	29
7	Imigresen	24	38	43	-5	32
8	DPMM FC	24	30	57	-27	23
9	Sabah FA	24	29	44	-15	23
10	Penang	24	26	41	-15	25
11	Melaka	24	18	45	-27	19
12	Kelantan United	24	17	63	-46	15
13	Pdrm	24	17	79	-62	11