Statistics / Football / Germany. Frauen Bundesliga / Bayern Munich W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W

Bayern Munich W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W Statistics & Analysis

Bayern Munich W Bayern Munich W
May 09, 2026 - 13:45
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Eintracht Frankfurt W Eintracht Frankfurt W
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bayern Munich W Bayern Munich W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 3-1, 1-1, 2-2, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 22:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1651380

Closing Odds 1.49
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Bayern Munich W win · Bayern Munich W 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Eintracht Frankfurt W (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 15.0 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Bayern Munich W (1X2) 41.8 62.4 -20.6
Draw (1X2) 25.7 19.9 +5.8
Eintracht Frankfurt W (1X2) 32.6 17.8 +14.8
Over 2.5 goals 50.6 65.6 -15.0
Under 2.5 goals 49.4 34.4 +15.0
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 49.4% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 34.4%. The difference — about 15.0 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Bayern Munich W (1X2) 1.49 1.49 0.0
Draw (1X2) 4.68 4.68 0.0
Eintracht Frankfurt W (1X2) 5.22 5.22 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.42 1.42 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 2.71 2.71 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Frauen Bundesliga
  • Fixture: Bayern Munich W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Bayern Munich W 1.45 — Eintracht Frankfurt W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 23.1% · Over 2.5 76.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 87.8% · No 12.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 87.8% · No 12.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Bayern Munich W & Eintracht Frankfurt W!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Frauen Bundesliga Frauen Bundesliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 74
2 VfL Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 51
4 1899 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 43
7 FC Koln W 26 11 4 11 37
8 SC Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 28
11 Nürnberg 26 6 4 16 22
12 Hamburger SV W 26 4 6 16 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bayern Munich W 26 90 9 +81 74
2 VfL Wolfsburg W 26 72 38 +34 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 65 43 +22 51
4 1899 Hoffenheim W 26 48 30 +18 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 46 36 +10 46
6 SC Freiburg W 26 44 46 -2 34
7 Werder Bremen W 26 42 36 +6 43
8 Union Berlin W 26 42 51 -9 30
9 RB Leipzig W 26 39 48 -9 28
10 FC Koln W 26 36 37 -1 37
11 Nürnberg 26 33 61 -28 22
12 Hamburger SV W 26 26 57 -31 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 22 63 -41 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 22 72 -50 11
Frauen Bundesliga Germany. Frauen Bundesliga Predictions