Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Persha Liga / Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil

Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil Statistics & Analysis

Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi
May 17, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 72%
Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Nyva Ternopil ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1630401

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nyva Ternopil win · Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–2 Nyva Ternopil
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Persha Liga
  • Fixture: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-16 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1.45 — Nyva Ternopil 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 56.2% · Implied: 44.8% · Probability edge: +11.4 pts · Est. EV: +16.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 30.0% · No 70.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (15.7%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Persha Liga Persha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 81
2 Chornomorets 30 19 8 3 65
3 Livyi Bereh 30 19 6 5 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 46
6 Prykarpattia 30 9 10 11 37
7 Metal Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 36
9 Yarud Mariupol' 30 9 9 12 36
10 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30 10 6 14 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 34
13 Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 30
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 21
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bukovyna 30 74 21 +53 81
2 Livyi Bereh 30 50 21 +29 63
3 Chornomorets 30 44 20 +24 65
4 Inhulets 30 41 32 +9 46
5 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30 37 38 -1 36
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 36 28 +8 53
7 Prykarpattia 30 33 33 0 37
8 Yarud Mariupol' 30 31 32 -1 36
9 Metal Kharkiv 30 31 35 -4 37
10 Chernihiv 30 30 36 -6 31
11 UCSA 30 30 40 -10 36
12 Probiy Horodenka 30 29 37 -8 36
13 Nyva Ternopil 30 24 34 -10 34
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 23 36 -13 30
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 20 45 -25 21
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 16 61 -45 19
Persha Liga Ukraine. Persha Liga Predictions