Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - Mitte / Weiz vs Ried II

Weiz vs Ried II Statistics & Analysis

Weiz Weiz
May 15, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Ried II Ried II
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Weiz Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 00:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1780310

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Weiz 0–0 Ried II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - Mitte
  • Fixture: Weiz vs Ried II
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Weiz 1.45 — Ried II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 35.9% · Over 2.5 64.1%); BTTS No (Yes 38.8% · No 61.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 38.8% · No 61.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Weiz & Ried II!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - Mitte Regionalliga - Mitte — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Voitsberg 30 26 2 2 80
2 Gurten 30 20 4 6 64
3 Oedt 30 15 10 5 55
4 LASK Juniors 30 15 6 9 51
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 30 14 9 7 51
6 Kalsdorf 30 15 4 11 49
7 Velden 30 13 7 10 46
8 SV Lafnitz 30 12 6 12 42
9 Wallern / Marienkirchen 30 12 4 14 40
10 Weiz 30 10 9 11 39
11 Wolfsberger AC II 30 9 7 14 34
12 Wohnbau Dietach 30 9 5 16 32
13 Gleisdorf 09 30 7 9 14 30
14 Treibach 30 7 3 20 24
15 Ried II 30 7 4 19 25
16 St. Anna 30 2 5 23 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Voitsberg 30 113 21 +92 80
2 LASK Juniors 30 66 44 +22 51
3 Oedt 30 62 32 +30 55
4 Weiz 30 61 66 -5 39
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 30 60 52 +8 51
6 Gurten 30 59 28 +31 64
7 Kalsdorf 30 59 53 +6 49
8 SV Lafnitz 30 55 60 -5 42
9 Velden 30 50 47 +3 46
10 Wolfsberger AC II 30 45 46 -1 34
11 Wallern / Marienkirchen 30 44 51 -7 40
12 Gleisdorf 09 30 43 72 -29 30
13 Ried II 30 41 72 -31 25
14 Treibach 30 35 71 -36 24
15 Wohnbau Dietach 30 33 57 -24 32
16 St. Anna 30 22 76 -54 11